Análisis Espanyol vs Almería
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 dic. 2009 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 4
RAC
53%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
ATM
4 - 0
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
GET
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 nov. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 1
GET
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 1
DEP
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2009 |
RMA
4 - 2
ALM
81%
12%
6%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 4
ATH
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
MLL
3 - 1
ALM
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 nov. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 1
HER
56%
25%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |