Copa del Rey Octavos
Global 6-4
Análisis Espanyol vs Barcelona
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
59.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.59
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.2%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.1%
22%
Probabilidad gana
1.56
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 2
ESP
57%
19%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1941 |
ESP
6 - 2
GIR
86%
9%
5%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 1941 |
GIR
1 - 1
ESP
21%
20%
59%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 mar. 1941 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
63%
17%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1941 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATM
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 2
ESP
57%
19%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1941 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1941 |
VCF
4 - 0
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
60%
19%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |