Copa de la Liga de España 1/16
Global 4-3
Análisis Espanyol vs Celta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.72
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 1986 |
CEL
3 - 2
ESP
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1986 |
ESP
5 - 3
FCB
27%
26%
48%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
ESP
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 1986 |
ESP
4 - 2
SEV
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 mar. 1986 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 1986 |
CEL
3 - 2
ESP
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1986 |
SPO
2 - 0
CEL
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1986 |
CEL
4 - 0
UDL
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 5
RMA
19%
25%
56%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 1986 |
VAD
4 - 0
CEL
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |