Análisis Espanyol vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.53
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.8%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
17.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 dic. 1939 |
FCB
0 - 1
ESP
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 may. 1936 |
FCB
3 - 0
ESP
65%
17%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1936 |
ESP
2 - 1
FCB
49%
21%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 may. 1936 |
JFC
3 - 3
ESP
29%
21%
50%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 may. 1936 |
ESP
3 - 0
JFC
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 dic. 1939 |
HER
3 - 1
RAC
46%
21%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 1936 |
HER
2 - 1
RMA
30%
23%
47%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +2 |
| 07 jun. 1936 |
RMA
7 - 0
HER
83%
11%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 may. 1936 |
HER
3 - 0
ZAR
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 may. 1936 |
ZAR
1 - 1
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |