Análisis Espanyol vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.59
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.9%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ene. 1946 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 1946 |
ESP
1 - 2
OVI
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 1
MUR
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1945 |
VCF
3 - 2
ESP
76%
13%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 dic. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 5
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ene. 1946 |
HER
2 - 1
SPO
34%
24%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 1946 |
SEV
2 - 1
HER
86%
9%
6%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 1945 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
66%
17%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1945 |
HER
1 - 4
CEL
40%
23%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 dic. 1945 |
RMA
2 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |