Primera División Jor. 22

Análisis Espanyol vs Hércules

Espanyol Hércules
83 ELO 72
5.7% Tilt -13.9%
89º Ranking ELO general 2419º
18º Ranking ELO país 75º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
71.2%
Espanyol
16.2%
Empate
12.6%
Hércules

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Espanyol
2.58
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16.2%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Hércules
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Espanyol
+11%
-6%
Hércules

Progresión del ELO

Espanyol
Hércules
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Espanyol
Espanyol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 ene. 1955
RSO
Real Sociedad
1 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
57%
21%
22%
83 80 3 0
23 ene. 1955
ESP
Espanyol
1 - 1
Real Valladolid
VAD
65%
18%
17%
83 80 3 0
16 ene. 1955
DEP
RC Deportivo
1 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
45%
24%
31%
83 79 4 0
09 ene. 1955
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 4
Barcelona
FCB
42%
24%
34%
84 89 5 -1
02 ene. 1955
ATH
Athletic
1 - 2
Espanyol
ESP
78%
13%
10%
83 87 4 +1

Partidos

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 ene. 1955
HER
Hércules
2 - 2
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
68%
18%
14%
73 65 8 0
23 ene. 1955
SEV
Sevilla
6 - 1
Hércules
HER
78%
13%
9%
74 84 10 -1
16 ene. 1955
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Hércules
HER
85%
10%
6%
74 89 15 0
09 ene. 1955
HER
Hércules
4 - 1
Real Sociedad
RSO
43%
24%
33%
73 81 8 +1
02 ene. 1955
VAD
Real Valladolid
2 - 0
Hércules
HER
64%
19%
17%
73 80 7 0