Análisis Espanyol vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.58
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.7%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 1956 |
DEP
3 - 1
ESP
49%
23%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1956 |
ESP
1 - 0
MUR
74%
15%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 1956 |
ATM
5 - 0
ESP
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 1956 |
ESP
3 - 0
RSO
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1956 |
CUL
0 - 1
ESP
38%
24%
39%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 1956 |
HER
0 - 3
ATH
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1956 |
CEL
2 - 1
HER
70%
17%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 1956 |
HER
4 - 0
VCF
29%
23%
48%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 mar. 1956 |
RMA
4 - 1
HER
88%
8%
4%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1956 |
HER
1 - 4
SEV
31%
24%
46%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |