Análisis Espanyol vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 1966 |
RMA
1 - 1
ESP
85%
11%
5%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1966 |
ESP
3 - 1
SEV
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 1966 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ESP
84%
10%
5%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1966 |
BET
4 - 0
ESP
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1966 |
ESP
2 - 1
BET
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 1966 |
HER
1 - 0
PON
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1966 |
ELC
4 - 0
HER
76%
15%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 1966 |
HER
0 - 0
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1966 |
UDL
1 - 0
HER
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1966 |
UDL
1 - 0
HER
67%
18%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |