Análisis Espanyol vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.11
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1977 |
ESP
3 - 0
RSO
63%
19%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 may. 1977 |
FCB
4 - 2
ESP
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1977 |
ESP
4 - 0
ATH
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1977 |
RSO
2 - 2
ESP
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1977 |
SLA
2 - 1
ESP
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1977 |
HER
2 - 0
VCF
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 may. 1977 |
HER
2 - 0
RSO
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1977 |
CEL
2 - 2
HER
48%
29%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1977 |
VCF
1 - 0
HER
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1977 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |