Análisis Espanyol vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.59
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 1956 |
ATM
8 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1956 |
ESP
4 - 0
VAD
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1956 |
OSA
5 - 0
ESP
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 1956 |
ESP
2 - 2
SEV
44%
23%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 oct. 1956 |
ESP
2 - 0
UDL
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 0
CDC
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1956 |
CEL
4 - 0
RJA
72%
16%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 oct. 1956 |
RJA
0 - 1
ZAR
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1956 |
RMA
7 - 1
RJA
89%
8%
4%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 oct. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 2
VCF
31%
23%
46%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |