Análisis Espanyol vs Real Zaragoza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
63%
Probabilidad gana
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 2012 |
ATH
3 - 3
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
MLL
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 1
ESP
27%
28%
45%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 ene. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 0
GRA
67%
21%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
MIR
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RAY
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2012 |
RMA
3 - 1
ZAR
94%
5%
1%
|
81 | 97 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
LEV
0 - 0
ZAR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 1
GET
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |