Análisis Esperanza vs Cuarto Distrito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2011 |
MUL
0 - 0
ESP
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 1
CEU
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2011 |
AGU
7 - 1
ESP
69%
19%
13%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 2011 |
ESP
5 - 0
UDL
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 feb. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 2
ESP
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 2011 |
CUA
2 - 1
MAZ
42%
25%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2011 |
PIN
2 - 1
CUA
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2011 |
CUA
2 - 0
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 0
CUA
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 feb. 2011 |
CUA
1 - 3
THA
42%
25%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |