Análisis Estepa Ind. vs Nervión
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estepa Ind.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2003 |
SUE
2 - 2
EST
15%
22%
63%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2003 |
EST
1 - 1
CAB
49%
23%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2003 |
VIS
0 - 0
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2003 |
EST
1 - 1
CAS
36%
25%
40%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 2003 |
LEB
1 - 2
EST
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2003 |
NER
1 - 2
UTR
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2003 |
MAI
2 - 1
NER
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2003 |
NER
3 - 0
JDB
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
NER
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2003 |
NER
4 - 0
PIL
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +3 |