Análisis Estoril vs Penafiel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 dic. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 2
EST
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2020 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2020 |
SPB
3 - 1
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 2020 |
EST
2 - 1
BOA
48%
25%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 dic. 2020 |
EST
5 - 0
LGC
90%
8%
2%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 dic. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
BEN
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2020 |
COV
2 - 3
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 dic. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
LEX
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 0
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 3
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |