Análisis Estoril vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51%
Probabilidad gana
1.28
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
29.3%
Empate
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
19.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ago. 1982 |
EST
3 - 1
VST
43%
30%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 1982 |
BOA
0 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 may. 1982 |
EST
1 - 0
ACV
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1982 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1982 |
EST
0 - 3
SCP
18%
29%
53%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 1982 |
VAR
0 - 0
GDA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 1982 |
VAR
0 - 0
AMO
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 may. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 0
VAR
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 may. 1981 |
VAR
0 - 1
BOA
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 0
VAR
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |