Análisis Estoril vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2021 |
FEI
0 - 1
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 2021 |
EST
3 - 2
BEN
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 2021 |
LEX
0 - 1
EST
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2021 |
EST
3 - 0
ACV
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 1
LEX
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
VAR
66%
22%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 feb. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 2
SPC
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 0
VAR
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 feb. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 3
CHA
27%
28%
46%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |