Análisis Estrella vs Cerro de Reyes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
15.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.5%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
59%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 2004 |
EXT
2 - 2
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
MIA
3 - 0
EST
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
CPC
10%
21%
69%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
PLA
3 - 1
EST
76%
17%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 2004 |
CER
2 - 1
MER
29%
28%
43%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
SPV
0 - 0
CER
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
CER
4 - 1
BAD
66%
21%
14%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
MON
1 - 4
CER
34%
27%
39%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
CER
0 - 2
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |