Análisis CA Estudiantes vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 2011 |
TEM
0 - 0
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
ALM
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
SUA
0 - 1
EST
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
EST
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 1
BRO
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
DEF
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
ARM
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2011 |
LAM
0 - 1
DEF
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
DEF
3 - 0
VSC
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |