Análisis CA Estudiantes vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
19.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
STM
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 2
EST
31%
28%
40%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
FEN
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
UAI
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
SUA
35%
30%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2016 |
RIE
4 - 1
DEF
42%
29%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
41%
30%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
PLA
47%
30%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 2
DEF
48%
28%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |