Análisis CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62%
Probabilidad gana
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 0
EST
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2012 |
EST
3 - 2
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
RIE
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 dic. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
PLA
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 0
STM
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2013 |
MOR
5 - 1
BER
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 dic. 2012 |
AND
1 - 1
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
MOR
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 nov. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
SUA
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |