Apertura Venezuela . Cuartos
Global 3-2
Análisis Estudiantes de Mérida vs Aragua FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-37%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 may. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 2
EST
35%
30%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
DEP
40%
27%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2019 |
LAL
1 - 1
EST
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
ARG
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 may. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
66%
22%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 may. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 2
EST
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
MET
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 2
ARA
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 may. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 2
ZAM
28%
28%
43%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 2
ARA
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |