Análisis Estudiantes de Mérida vs Atlético El Vigía FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2000 |
TRU
3 - 1
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2000 |
POR
0 - 1
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 may. 1999 |
CCP
4 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1999 |
EST
3 - 0
CCP
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +3 |
| 21 abr. 1999 |
EST
0 - 1
EME
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2000 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAC
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2000 |
ULA
1 - 0
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |