Análisis Estudiantes de Mérida vs Carabobo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
MIN
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 3
EST
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 feb. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
MIR
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
TRU
1 - 1
EST
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2004 |
CFC
4 - 0
EST
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 2004 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
TAC
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAR
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 1
CFC
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 feb. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 1
MIN
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |