Análisis Estudiantes de Mérida vs La Guaira
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
18.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.88
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.77
Goles esperados
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
ZAM
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
ESC
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 oct. 2016 |
ZUL
5 - 0
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2016 |
EST
2 - 5
CFC
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 4
DEP
18%
23%
60%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 2
MON
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 3
ATL
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 2
LAR
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |