Análisis Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Lara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
MIR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2006 |
UCL
1 - 2
EST
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -2 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
EST
2 - 2
LLA
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 ago. 2006 |
EST
3 - 1
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 ago. 2006 |
TUR
2 - 3
EST
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 sep. 2006 |
GAL
1 - 2
LAR
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2006 |
LAR
0 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 ago. 2006 |
ZUL
1 - 1
LAR
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -3 |
| 21 ago. 2006 |
LAR
4 - 1
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2006 |
UCL
1 - 2
LAR
11%
21%
67%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | -1 |