Análisis Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Táchira
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
22.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.62
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
EST
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
LLA
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 2
EST
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 0
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
TAC
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
TAC
2 - 1
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2015 |
TAC
1 - 1
GUA
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2015 |
TAC
5 - 2
MIN
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 2
TAC
71%
18%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |