Análisis Estudiantes La Plata vs Vélez Sarsfield
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
35.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.19
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 2012 |
NOB
1 - 0
EST
37%
29%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
COL
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 ago. 2012 |
SLO
0 - 1
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
RIV
45%
27%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 2
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 sep. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 1
BEL
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 3
VEL
26%
27%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 2
LAN
54%
26%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2012 |
IND
0 - 0
VEL
33%
27%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 0
ARG
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |