Análisis Estudiantes La Plata vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.07
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.4%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 nov. 1946 |
VEL
1 - 0
EST
39%
22%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 1946 |
EST
2 - 1
SLO
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1946 |
EST
4 - 1
BOC
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 1946 |
PLA
1 - 0
EST
37%
22%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1946 |
EST
4 - 1
NOB
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 nov. 1946 |
FER
0 - 4
PLA
46%
22%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 1946 |
NOB
5 - 0
FER
72%
15%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 nov. 1946 |
FER
0 - 3
RAC
37%
23%
40%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 1946 |
CHA
1 - 2
FER
66%
19%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 1946 |
FER
3 - 0
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |