Análisis Estudiantes La Plata vs Independiente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.27
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1968 |
EST
0 - 0
MIL
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 1968 |
EST
3 - 0
CAL
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 feb. 1968 |
CAL
1 - 2
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1968 |
MIL
0 - 1
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 1968 |
IND
2 - 4
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 1968 |
IND
1 - 1
CAL
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1968 |
IND
3 - 1
MIL
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1968 |
CAL
1 - 0
IND
47%
24%
28%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1968 |
MIL
1 - 2
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 1968 |
IND
2 - 4
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |