Análisis Etiopía vs Zambia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50%
Probabilidad gana
2.11
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.58
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Etiopía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 1976 |
ETH
1 - 1
EGY
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1976 |
GIN
2 - 1
ETH
80%
12%
8%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 1976 |
ETH
2 - 0
UGA
58%
21%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 may. 1972 |
ETH
0 - 1
GRC
38%
22%
40%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1970 |
ETH
1 - 5
ISR
39%
22%
39%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 1980 |
ZMB
1 - 1
MWI
61%
19%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1980 |
ZWE
2 - 1
ZMB
42%
22%
36%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 1980 |
ZMB
2 - 0
TZA
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 nov. 1979 |
KEN
3 - 1
ZMB
43%
22%
35%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 nov. 1979 |
ZMB
2 - 2
TZA
68%
16%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |