Análisis Excelsior .31 vs ACV Assen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.27
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-39%
-39%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 2015 |
FLE
2 - 2
EXC
34%
23%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2015 |
EXC
10 - 2
SCM
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | -1 |
| 09 may. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 1
STA
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2015 |
WHC
3 - 2
EXC
12%
18%
70%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -2 |
| 25 abr. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
HAR
47%
23%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
Partidos
ACV Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 2015 |
ACV
1 - 2
HZV
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 2
ACV
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2015 |
ACV
3 - 1
WHC
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2015 |
FLE
4 - 3
ACV
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 2015 |
ACV
1 - 3
URK
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |