Análisis Excelsior .31 vs Apeldoorn CSV
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.11
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2019 |
SPA
4 - 1
EXC
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 0
DUN
59%
20%
20%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 mar. 2019 |
EXC
8 - 1
WHC
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 2019 |
BER
2 - 4
EXC
45%
24%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
DET
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2019 |
APE
0 - 6
AZS
24%
23%
54%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2019 |
WHC
2 - 0
APE
47%
22%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2019 |
APE
3 - 1
BUI
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2019 |
APE
1 - 0
SVZ
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 mar. 2019 |
SPA
3 - 0
APE
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |