Análisis Excelsior .31 vs Berkum
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-36%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 sep. 2006 |
ORA
0 - 1
EXC
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
GEL
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 may. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
SVZ
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2006 |
WHC
3 - 0
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 abr. 2006 |
EXC
5 - 2
FLE
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 sep. 2006 |
BER
0 - 2
ACV
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |