KNVB Beker 1/16

Análisis Excelsior .31 vs Excelsior

Excelsior .31 Excelsior
49 ELO 71
22.9% Tilt 15.4%
4426º Ranking ELO general 561º
88º Ranking ELO país 17º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
12.3%
Excelsior .31
18.4%
Empate
69.3%
Excelsior

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
Excelsior .31
0.81
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.3%
Win probability
Excelsior
2.22
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Excelsior .31
Excelsior
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Excelsior .31
Excelsior .31
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 oct. 2015
URK
Urk
0 - 1
Excelsior .31
EXC
15%
20%
64%
47 32 15 0
10 oct. 2015
EXC
Excelsior .31
4 - 1
Apeldoorn CSV
APE
76%
14%
9%
47 33 14 0
03 oct. 2015
AZS
AZSV Aalten
1 - 2
Excelsior .31
EXC
29%
24%
47%
46 42 4 +1
26 sep. 2015
EXC
Excelsior .31
2 - 0
Harkemase Boys
HAR
48%
22%
30%
45 46 1 +1
22 sep. 2015
ACV
ACV Assen
1 - 2
Excelsior .31
EXC
37%
25%
38%
44 42 2 +1

Partidos

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 oct. 2015
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
43%
26%
31%
71 68 3 0
17 oct. 2015
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
70%
19%
11%
71 83 12 0
03 oct. 2015
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
39%
25%
36%
71 76 5 0
27 sep. 2015
ADO
ADO Den Haag
3 - 3
Excelsior
EXC
49%
25%
26%
70 70 0 +1
23 sep. 2015
BAR
BVV Barendrecht
0 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
18%
22%
61%
68 55 13 +2