Análisis Excelsior .31 vs GOES
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.24
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2022 |
VVS
4 - 2
EXC
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 0
EXC
52%
23%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
VVO
75%
16%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 2
EXC
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2022 |
GOE
0 - 0
TER
31%
24%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2022 |
GOE
3 - 2
BAR
16%
22%
62%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +3 |
| 05 abr. 2022 |
GOE
0 - 1
STA
23%
23%
55%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 abr. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 0
GOE
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 2022 |
DVS
5 - 1
GOE
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |