Análisis Excelsior .31 vs PKC .83
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.13
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 2008 |
GOA
1 - 3
EXC
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
ACV
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2008 |
STA
3 - 0
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 feb. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
ONS
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2008 |
GEN
2 - 0
EXC
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
PKC .83
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 2008 |
PKC
0 - 3
FLE
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2008 |
GOA
3 - 1
PKC
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 2008 |
ORA
2 - 1
PKC
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 feb. 2008 |
PKC
3 - 3
ACV
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2008 |
STA
4 - 1
PKC
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |