Análisis Excelsior .31 vs SVZW
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.87
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 0
EXC
27%
22%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVO
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 nov. 2015 |
DRA
0 - 2
EXC
9%
17%
73%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2015 |
EXC
6 - 1
HZV
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 5
STA
79%
14%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
Partidos
SVZW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2015 |
SVZ
1 - 0
URK
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2015 |
STA
3 - 0
SVZ
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 2015 |
SVZ
1 - 1
HZV
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2015 |
DOS
2 - 2
SVZ
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2015 |
SVZ
1 - 5
APE
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |