Análisis Excelsior .31 vs WHC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.18
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 2006 |
BEQ
0 - 3
EXC
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
GEN
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 oct. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 0
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 0
GOA
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 sep. 2006 |
FLE
0 - 4
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Partidos
WHC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 2006 |
WHC
2 - 2
BER
58%
22%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2006 |
ORA
0 - 2
WHC
29%
24%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 oct. 2006 |
WHC
0 - 2
HHC
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
ONS
1 - 1
WHC
57%
21%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2006 |
WHC
1 - 1
DOS
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |