Análisis Excelsior Mouscron vs Lierse SK
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 2004 |
KVC
0 - 1
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 1
OOS
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
SDL
2 - 0
EXC
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
EXC
0 - 2
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2004 |
RAA
3 - 1
EXC
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 2004 |
OOS
2 - 3
LIE
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
LIE
3 - 2
GEN
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
KSK
2 - 1
LIE
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
LIE
0 - 1
STR
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2004 |
AND
5 - 1
LIE
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |