División Nacional Belga 1 Jor. 18

Análisis Excelsior Virton vs Heist

Excelsior Virton Heist
50 ELO 45
-1.8% Tilt 6.3%
2197º Ranking ELO general 4403º
41º Ranking ELO país 91º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
50.9%
Excelsior Virton
22.7%
Empate
26.4%
Heist

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
Excelsior Virton
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Heist
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Excelsior Virton
+27%
-3%
Heist

Progresión del ELO

Excelsior Virton
Heist
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Excelsior Virton
Excelsior Virton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 ene. 2017
PAT
Patro Eisden
2 - 0
Excelsior Virton
EXC
24%
23%
53%
51 41 10 0
17 dic. 2016
EXC
Excelsior Virton
1 - 0
Geel-Meerhout
GEE
57%
22%
21%
51 46 5 0
10 dic. 2016
DEI
Deinze
0 - 5
Excelsior Virton
EXC
10%
18%
72%
50 24 26 +1
03 dic. 2016
EXC
Excelsior Virton
3 - 0
Coxyde
COX
69%
19%
13%
50 39 11 0
26 nov. 2016
SPO
Sporting Hasselt
1 - 2
Excelsior Virton
EXC
29%
25%
46%
49 43 6 +1

Partidos

Heist
Heist
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 ene. 2017
HEI
Heist
3 - 0
Coxyde
COX
69%
18%
14%
45 39 6 0
17 dic. 2016
DEN
FCV Dender
4 - 5
Heist
HEI
55%
22%
23%
44 49 5 +1
10 dic. 2016
SPO
Sporting Hasselt
2 - 2
Heist
HEI
35%
24%
41%
44 41 3 0
03 dic. 2016
HEI
Heist
2 - 1
Geel-Meerhout
GEE
44%
23%
33%
43 46 3 +1
26 nov. 2016
OUD
Oudenaarde
2 - 1
Heist
HEI
48%
23%
29%
44 45 1 -1