Análisis Excelsior vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
15.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.9
Goles esperados
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 1985 |
SPA
4 - 0
EXC
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1984 |
EXC
0 - 1
HFC
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 1984 |
PSV
2 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 2
VOL
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 1984 |
RJC
1 - 1
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 3
AJA
15%
22%
63%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1984 |
AJA
1 - 4
PSV
67%
17%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 dic. 1984 |
VOL
1 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1984 |
AJA
7 - 0
RJC
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |