Análisis Excelsior vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.97
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
AZA
5 - 0
EXC
79%
14%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 2006 |
EXC
6 - 1
HER
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 nov. 2006 |
PSV
4 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 2006 |
ZUL
0 - 3
AJA
10%
15%
75%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 2
ESP
60%
23%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |