Análisis Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
24.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ago. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 jul. 2015 |
FCO
1 - 1
EXC
28%
24%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 4
AZA
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 may. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 2
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ago. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2015 |
IST
1 - 2
AZA
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 0
IST
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 2015 |
AZA
1 - 0
WAS
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2015 |
LIE
1 - 3
AZA
19%
21%
60%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |