Análisis Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
17.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 nov. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 2
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 2
SPA
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 oct. 2016 |
FEY
4 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 2016 |
AZA
5 - 1
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
AZA
40%
24%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 nov. 2016 |
RJC
1 - 1
AZA
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2016 |
BJK
1 - 4
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 2
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |