Análisis Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
18.8%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2019 |
HER
4 - 5
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2019 |
ADO
3 - 1
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 1
WIL
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2019 |
AJA
6 - 2
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 0
EXC
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2019 |
AZA
1 - 0
PSV
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 1
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2019 |
FEY
2 - 1
AZA
43%
24%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 3
ADO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
AZA
12%
19%
70%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |