Análisis Excelsior vs Emmen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2000 |
HER
1 - 3
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2000 |
EXC
2 - 3
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2000 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2000 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2000 |
VVV
1 - 1
EXC
34%
25%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2000 |
FCE
2 - 3
HEL
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2000 |
HFC
2 - 4
FCE
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2000 |
FCE
4 - 0
VOL
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 2000 |
GRO
2 - 0
FCE
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2000 |
FCE
3 - 1
GAE
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |