Análisis Excelsior vs Emmen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.22
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ago. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
12%
20%
69%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
EXC
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
EXC
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
TWE
13%
19%
68%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
Partidos
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ago. 2012 |
FCE
1 - 1
FCD
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2012 |
BVV
1 - 4
FCE
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2012 |
FCE
1 - 1
SPA
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2012 |
GAE
1 - 0
FCE
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 1
FCE
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |