Análisis Excelsior vs Emmen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
11%
17%
72%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRA
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 3
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2019 |
FCE
3 - 2
ADO
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2019 |
AZA
5 - 0
FCE
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2019 |
VVV
2 - 3
FCE
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 ene. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 2
PSV
6%
13%
81%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | +1 |
| 10 ene. 2019 |
F95
1 - 0
FCE
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |