Análisis Excelsior vs Den Bosch
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 1984 |
FOR
1 - 1
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1984 |
EXC
3 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 sep. 1984 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
91%
7%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 1
SPA
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 sep. 1984 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 sep. 1984 |
BOS
3 - 0
SPA
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1984 |
MVV
0 - 3
BOS
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 sep. 1984 |
BOS
0 - 0
HFC
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1984 |
ZWO
1 - 0
BOS
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 may. 1984 |
BOS
3 - 0
HEL
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |