Análisis Excelsior vs Den Bosch
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 1
EXC
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
BVV
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
63%
20%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 oct. 2003 |
BVO
0 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 oct. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2003 |
BOS
2 - 3
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2003 |
FCO
2 - 1
BOS
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2003 |
BOS
0 - 2
JON
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 oct. 2003 |
BOS
2 - 1
TEL
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2003 |
APE
1 - 2
BOS
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |